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News Analysis: How far can Thailand's pro-Thaksin government walk amid expectations, doubt  
ผู้บันทึก: admin on 08 ก.พ. 2008 - 03:49 am 
Thailand News BEIJING, Feb. 7 (Xinhua) -- After 16 months of military rule, Thailand finally has a civilian-elected prime minister, Samak Sundaravej, as well as a new administration with key posts taken up by allies of deposed Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra.



Samak doubles as defence minister, while former Thaksin spokesman Surapong Suebwonglee has become finance minister and Thaksin's legal advisor Noppadon Pattama was appointed as foreign minister. Thaksin's brother-in-law, Somchai Wongsawat, became one of Samak's six deputy prime ministers.

But how far the pro-Thaksin government is likely to walk hinges on whether it can handle deep-rooted political rifts, revitalize a sluggish economy and stop the abuses of power and graft seen in the previous round.



PARTY CONFLICTS LINGER ON

The 72-year-old Samak formed a six-party coalition, which controls two thirds of the parliamentary seats, after leading the People Power Party (PPP) to victory in the Dec. 23 general election.

Although a staunch ally of Thaksin himself, Samak's coalition partners are not fervent supporters of the former prime minister. This indicates that the new government's efforts to seek a consensus on various proposals will probably be undermined by political divergence and party interests within the alliance before a bill is put to the vote in parliament.

Alone on the opposition benches, the Democrat party recently announced its decision to set up a shadow cabinet to monitor the PPP and its coalition. Party leader Abhisit Vejjajiva said the shadow cabinet will not only scrutinize the coalition government's performance, but also propose alternative solutions to problems.

Besides, the relations between Samak and Thaksin will be critical in the months ahead as the latter will certainly try to navigate his way back to Thailand. Analysts say that the overall composition of the cabinet and formulation of policy directions are likely to be beholden to Thaksin, whose political clout remains a powerful influence, while Samak will have some autonomy in day-to-day operations.



ECONOMY REMAINS BIGGEST NATIONAL CONCERN

Nearly two years of political limbo has taken its toll on Thailand's otherwise fast-growing economy. In 2007, Thailand's economic growth was the lowest among Southeast Asian countries with stagnant domestic consumption and depressed business confidence.

Stoked by high fuel prices, annual inflation is also picking up. Thais grumbled about rising basic necessity costs ranging from rice to palm oil.

Compared with perplexing political issues, ordinary Thais are more worried about the country's bleak economic prospects, observers say.

The PPP, which pledged to reinstate the populist policies of Thaksin before the general election, said recently that boosting the economy would be high on its agenda. It plans to revive some of the popular schemes of the disbanded Thai Rak Thai (TRT) Party, including the 30-baht medical scheme, village funds, a two- and three-digit lottery and educational loans for poor students.

The party also vowed to accelerate spending on big infrastructure projects, shelved due to the collapse of the Thaksin administration sparked by protracted street protests starting in late 2005.



THAKSIN'S FORESEEABLE RETURN WEIGHS ON THAI POLITICS

A charismatic and divisive figure, Samak has promised to bring Thaksin back to Thailand despite corruption charges against the deposed prime minister. Instead of an early prediction of returning from Britain in February, Thaksin's spokesman Noppadon Pattama hinted that the exiled prime minister may not go home before May.

Following the overthrow of Thaksin's government in Sept. 2006, the tycoon-turned-prime minister was charged with a slate of corruption cases, of which only two have been filed. As little headway has been made in the investigation into the charges, the PPP was considering the possibility of an amnesty for Thaksin.

The discussion, however, triggered a backlash from some ministers of the military-backed government which threatened to take to the streets again if the new cabinet interferes in court cases against the exiled former prime minister.

To some extent, Samak's political fate is linked to Thaksin as many hold the view that the latter is the de facto Thai PM. Observers believe that Samak's premiership may last longer than anticipated if he can rehabilitate the politicians banned by Thai Rak Thai, prevent the PPP's dissolution on several key legal and constitutional cases, as well as cultivate the conditions for Thaksin's return.

But whether supporters of PPP or not, Thais will have to wait and see where the Samak-led government will lead the country to and what role Thaksin may play in the future. No matter what will happen next, one thing is clear that another military coup is no solution to the political divisions in Thailand, and a government has to meet public expectations if it hopes to stay in office for long.

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เรื่องที่เกี่ยวข้อง:
· Thailand to get Thaksin-like cabinet ( 07 ก.พ. 2008)
· อาลัย “ทนงศักดิ์ ภักดีเทวา” ( 23 พ.ย. 2007)
· If you can speak Thai, let's join a summer program in NE Thailand ( 10 เม.ย 2007)
· บอลไทย-สิงคโปร์เดือด!! ขึ้นค่าผ่านประตู 2 เท่า ( 02 ก.พ. 2007)
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· เสนอข่าวโดย admin



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